May 3, 2019 (11:33 AM)

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Professors present a detailed summary of the city-wide electoral survey results in Blue Vote 2019.

Photo by Julien Jame Apale

Sara Dutere, Sebastian Duterte, and Paolo Duterte topped the Ateneo de Davao University (AdDU) Blue Vote 2019 city-wide electoral survey results for the positions of City Mayor, Vice Mayor, and District 1 representative respectively.

Sara Duterte garnered 96.6 percent of the respondents’ votes while Sebastian Duterte received 87.5 percent and Paolo Duterte 88.8 percent.

The survey had 1, 599 respondents from all three districts and 11 sub-districts of Davao city.

It followed the Ateneo on-the-ground sampling procedure with a ±2.45percent margin of error at a 95 percent confidence level.

The survey also expects solid wins for Vincent Garcia who is running unopposed for District 2 Representative. The same goes for District 3 Representative Isidro Ungab.
Aside from the local positions, Blue Vote also collected the respondents’ top senatorial preferences. They are as follows:

1.) GO, Bong (80.9%)
2.) DE LA ROSA, Bato (75%)
3.) CAYETANO, Pian (56.0%)
4.) VILLAR, Cynthia (55.8%)
5.) ANGARA, Edgar Sonny (50.7%)
6.) TOLENTINO, Francis (49.2%)
7.) MARCOS, Imee (44.4%)
8.) PIMENTEL, Koko (41.7%)
9.) POE, Grace (41.5%)
10.) BONG REVILLA, Ramon Jr. (37.8%)
11.) EJERCITO, Estrada JV (35.3%)
12.) MANGUDADATU, Dong (32.8%)

The respondents’ awareness of relevant social issues was also included in the survey.

More than half of the Davao respondents were in support of martial law. 75.5 percent agreed to its extension. 
In relation to the president’s term limit, 75.9 percent or majority were not aware of the position term limit in the 1987 constitution. 56.3 percent have also not heard of the anti-dynasty policy.

Among those who are aware of the anti-dynasty policy, 50.8 percent agreed that it should be abolished.

For the age of criminal responsibility, 76.8 percent believed that it should be lowered to 12 years old.

Despite the results and the high probability of the Dutertes’ win, Department of Economics Chairperson and result presenter Mildred Estanda advised that surveys should not be used to determine one’s actual vote but rather viewed as data to be better informed.

“We still have ten days. At the end of the day, it all depends on the voter,” she said.

The complete survey results will be posted online at the university’s research website (research.addu.edu.ph) under the BlueVote category.



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